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14 CFR §450.115

Verified against eCFR.gov as of June 20, 2026View official text on eCFR.gov
  1. (a)Scope of the analysis. An operator's flight safety analysis method must account for all reasonably foreseeable events and failures of safety-critical systems during nominal and non-nominal launch or reentry that could jeopardize public safety.
  2. (b)Level of fidelity of the analysis. An operator's flight safety analysis method must have a level of fidelity sufficient to—
    1. (1)Demonstrate that any risk to the public satisfies the safety criteria of § 450.101, including the use of mitigations, accounting for all known sources of uncertainty, using a means of compliance accepted by the Administrator; and
    2. (2)Identify the dominant source of each type of public risk with a criterion in § 450.101(a) or (b) in terms of phase of flight, source of hazard (such as toxic exposure, inert, or explosive debris), and failure mode.
  3. (c)Application requirements. An applicant must submit a description of the flight safety analysis methodology, including identification of:
    1. (1)The scientific principles and statistical methods used;
    2. (2)All assumptions and their justifications;
    3. (3)The rationale for the level of fidelity;
    4. (4)The evidence for validation and verification required by § 450.101(g);
    5. (5)The extent to which the benchmark conditions are comparable to the foreseeable conditions of the intended operations; and
    6. (6)The extent to which risk mitigations were accounted for in the analyses.